PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x250Fe8D77be2FE3D9A0329A0d3dB38cb4E5bBA3D-1781637083362

0x250fe8d77be2fe3d9a0329a0d3db38cb4e5bba3d

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$9.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar21.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0100.009$9.28−$1.22
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$3.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 08:53Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0096135447$10.50
09-02 08:04Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.008$3.50
09-02 08:00Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$3.73
08-07 20:45Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1299999779$4.41
08-07 20:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.04$4.21
07-27 07:10Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.032$3.37
07-27 07:09New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.08$3.94
07-27 07:06New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0879683792$4.33
07-27 06:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2AM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-25 03:04Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?BUY0.0362493209$9.00
07-22 04:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.96$5.00
07-22 04:38Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.013$8.67
07-22 02:42Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0149999985$10.00
07-19 22:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$2.0k
07-14 20:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3789999984$112.78