PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5

Realised P&L
$-655.87
Volume
$89.5k
Markets traded
242
Open portfolio
$899.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded242
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:33Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.92$38.15
09-18 00:01Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$41.01
09-17 23:48Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.55$33.00
09-16 00:26Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.92$36.80
09-16 00:21Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.89$60.38
09-16 00:04Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.982$27.36
09-15 22:01Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.88$123.20
09-15 20:05Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?SELL0.74$9.61
09-15 19:56Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?SELL0.64$13.52
09-15 19:36Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.15$3.77
09-15 19:34Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.16$15.98
09-14 14:09Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.22$14.86
09-14 13:19Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.3$14.97
09-14 13:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.31$15.47
09-14 05:56Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.83$20.75