0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5
- Realised P&L
- $-655.87
- Volume
- $89.5k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $899.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.57at 0.280Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$108.67at 0.592Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
- +$66.92at 0.130US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$62.32at 0.335Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$59.53at 0.718Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:33 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.92 | $38.15 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.01 |
| 09-17 23:48 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $33.00 |
| 09-16 00:26 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 09-16 00:21 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.89 | $60.38 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $27.36 |
| 09-15 22:01 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.88 | $123.20 |
| 09-15 20:05 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.61 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.64 | $13.52 |
| 09-15 19:36 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.77 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $15.98 |
| 09-14 14:09 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $14.86 |
| 09-14 13:19 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $14.97 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.47 |
| 09-14 05:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $20.75 |