PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5

Realised P&L
$-876.59
Volume
$82.0k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.3610.585$129.76+$49.76
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7950.905$115.93+$14.06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.7300.949$97.45+$22.45
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? · Yes0.7400.755$76.52+$1.52
Haiti elections delayed again? · Yes0.7090.987$55.69+$15.65
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6800.745$54.78+$4.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.645$51.19+$1.19
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.3900.655$50.38+$20.38
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.6600.795$48.19+$8.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7110.630$35.45$4.55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$35.40$0.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? · Yes0.7100.895$31.51+$6.51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.325$30.47+$0.47
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.680$25.76+$0.76
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes0.6700.661$24.66$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6999999972$25.00
08-03 05:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7299999942$15.00
08-03 05:58Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?BUY0.7899999989$15.00
08-03 05:58Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999799$25.00
08-03 05:56Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?BUY0.6699999973$25.00
08-03 00:24US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.4$13.70
08-03 00:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.31$22.79
08-03 00:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.3440383569$25.29
08-02 05:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3399999946$25.00
08-02 05:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3399999946$25.00
08-02 04:41Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
08-02 04:40Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2$1.00
08-02 03:24Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.3218259455$15.83
07-31 16:50Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?BUY0.7599999666$20.00
07-31 16:49Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$36.00
Trader 0x2503…9be5 · PolyBot