BirnoM
0x2502fe09b83e41b7078b66889635d6ec84db962f
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes | 0.832 | 0.920 | $1.8k | +$176.47 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.752 | 0.745 | $521.50 | −$4.86 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.425 | $361.25 | −$74.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:02 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.9 | $789.15 |
| 10-02 17:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $11.41 |
| 10-02 17:58 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.06 |
| 10-02 17:58 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $87.40 |
| 10-02 17:57 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $422.50 |
| 09-24 15:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-16 23:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 09-16 15:47 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.7436923077 | $48.34 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.73 | $18.98 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 09-11 20:42 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.96 |
| 09-11 16:03 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.00 |
| 09-10 19:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-10 17:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-09 16:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |