0x24eb3c15209905567231a6261c3d2b45f7d188d5
0x24eb3c15209905567231a6261c3d2b45f7d188d5
- Realised P&L
- $-11.21
- Volume
- $111.62
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $5.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.785 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.765 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.645 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.255 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
- +$1.52at 0.590US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.18at 0.650Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:52 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:49 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:01 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:52 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:37 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |