cryptoholder1
0x24abcbea552849a824867131085a74b3cc88b0a3
- Realised P&L
- $-277.29
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $150.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.13at 0.720US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$32.49at 0.600Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$28.53at 0.726Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.43at 0.700Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$19.37at 0.765Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:30 | Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6451335426 | $45.00 |
| 09-24 12:28 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $45.95 |
| 09-21 09:08 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8389881939 | $41.46 |
| 09-21 09:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999975 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.997 | $81.58 |
| 08-23 12:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999916 | $61.66 |
| 08-17 19:22 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.7799999987 | $48.89 |
| 08-17 19:21 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 18:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 21:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.643993399 | $81.44 |
| 07-22 20:35 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.769999999 | $58.90 |
| 07-22 20:34 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699962638 | $57.00 |
| 06-25 06:23 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $49.10 |
| 06-17 18:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $6.50 |
| 06-17 14:31 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999961 | $13.62 |