ChrisZyy-Real
0x24816c037cdc2c9bd979e69d777541cf560a9b79
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $834.8k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $52.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.979 | $28.1k | +$626.61 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No | 0.984 | 0.989 | $11.0k | +$50.00 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.958 | $6.4k | +$76.68 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $3.3k | +$1.67 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.949 | 0.949 | $2.1k | +$0.00 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.991 | $1.1k | +$10.55 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.998 | $761.83 | +$5.73 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.920 | $226.42 | +$2.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.929Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.3kat 0.958Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.936Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.0kat 0.970Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$949.99at 0.955Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:45 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $458.81 |
| 08-06 13:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.983 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 16:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 07-31 15:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.977 | $155.00 |
| 07-30 15:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $705.13 |
| 07-17 15:03 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.977 | $195.87 |
| 07-15 15:18 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.998 | $148.82 |
| 07-15 14:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.5k |
| 07-15 14:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.4k |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in July? | SELL | 0.997 | $422.43 |
| 07-01 01:54 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.84 |
| 06-25 16:57 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $95.43 |
| 06-25 16:55 | Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 06-25 16:50 | Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.1k |
| 06-18 05:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.82 |