0x2445ebef98d674264d32b19be7e3887c38c8c173
0x2445ebef98d674264d32b19be7e3887c38c8c173
- Realised P&L
- $-7.25
- Volume
- $95.42
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.580 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.595 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.22 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.358Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.570SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?
- +$1.03at 0.600Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:45 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:40 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5999999211 | $1.52 |
| 09-23 02:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998836 | $1.52 |
| 09-22 06:29 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.5899998137 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 21:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.5599999411 | $1.52 |
| 09-19 09:14 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499998717 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 05:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 05:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 16:09 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.52 |