PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2445ebef98d674264d32b19be7e3887c38c8c173

0x2445ebef98d674264d32b19be7e3887c38c8c173

Realised P&L
$-7.25
Volume
$95.42
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$2.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3800.580$1.53+$0.53
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.6000.595$0.99−$0.01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.055$0.22−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 11:45Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-05 00:37Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-02 10:40Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-01 13:40S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.74$1.00
09-27 02:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-26 09:23Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-23 10:45SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?BUY0.5999999211$1.52
09-23 02:32Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899998836$1.52
09-22 06:29Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.5899998137$1.52
09-20 21:47SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?BUY0.5599999411$1.52
09-19 09:14Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6499998717$1.52
09-13 21:40Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.64$1.52
09-10 05:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.38$1.52
09-09 05:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.76$1.52
09-08 16:09LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.52