PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LarryPeng

0x243b62245f828e60ded50e11c9123df847674810

Realised P&L
$398.10
Volume
$180.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$603.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.595$228.85+$28.85
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.595$138.37+$38.37
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$126.50+$16.50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2120.162$76.18$23.82
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.004$33.85$66.14
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$1.6k
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$99.99
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$15.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$50.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.60
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0650.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:55Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0649999943$10.00
07-19 21:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.092$44.99
07-19 21:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9023866831$2.4k
07-19 13:50Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.002$6.00
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0109978466$36.36
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.69
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.69
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.69
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.79
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.59
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.77
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$3.75
07-19 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.01$37.68
07-19 13:49Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.005$1.00
07-19 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.66$100.00