agreereee
0x24399b4ca3fe6d8a31a6695b98b90cba1fa912d2
- Realised P&L
- $-69.73
- Volume
- $128.0k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.845 | $1.5k | +$624.45 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.155 | $280.55 | −$624.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.644 | 1.000 | $155.23 | +$55.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $99.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.455 | $93.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.350 | $68.38 | −$31.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.575 | $45.40 | +$12.20 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.509 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.64at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?
- +$30.46at 0.500Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$22.52at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$4.37at 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$4.09at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4204875887 | $33.20 |
| 09-28 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5096977489 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5118709764 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-27 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 09-27 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4892367906 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.356407413 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6438831094 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6064221084 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 03:53 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.974 | $107.14 |
| 05-09 03:33 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.975 | $107.25 |
| 05-05 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 04-24 06:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $4.98 |
| 04-24 02:59 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.90 |
| 04-24 02:51 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.76 |