PolyBot

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Traders

nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca

0x23b2360543693d4a78374870f1e98b14e7591a90

Realised P&L
$124.39
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$932.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.2200.220$485.65−$0.19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.225$222.12+$4.94
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1290.135$119.06+$5.71
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? · Yes0.1800.205$56.25+$6.86
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.3840.195$25.14−$24.30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1900.160$23.88−$4.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:11Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?SELL0.2128837599$469.94
10-15 08:07Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.19$28.36
10-15 08:06Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.2054309877$26.48
10-15 07:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.1285259601$113.35
10-14 13:43Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$71.54
10-14 13:42Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.22$84.17
10-14 13:39Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.18$49.39
10-14 13:36Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.4534886106$168.03
10-13 17:22Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.134$6.70
10-13 16:48Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.6773417722$53.51
10-13 15:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.5621875$35.98
10-13 15:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.55$171.91
10-13 15:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2802652791$54.94
10-13 15:35Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2466605098$13.35
10-13 09:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.2769276775$135.20