danduka
0x238a46332c5d850ceb9045ff0203ff71d7fb105f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $597.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.070 | $231.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · No | 0.599 | 0.983 | $120.46 | +$47.01 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.475 | $95.00 | +$49.00 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.215 | $75.25 | −$40.25 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.055 | $33.00 | −$111.00 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.070 | $24.32 | −$73.67 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.045 | $18.00 | −$134.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.00 |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.70at 0.501Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$83.71at 0.580Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$61.30at 0.689Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$58.00at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 00:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $555.00 |
| 07-30 00:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $555.00 |
| 06-15 08:10 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.61 |
| 06-15 05:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 06-15 05:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 06-14 17:07 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.76 | $114.00 |
| 06-14 05:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 06-14 05:45 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 06-08 13:13 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.799 | $115.86 |
| 06-05 16:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $230.00 |
| 06-05 16:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $224.00 |
| 06-05 15:59 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | SELL | 0.4801515152 | $158.45 |
| 06-04 06:26 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $261.00 |
| 06-04 06:25 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $38.25 |
| 06-04 06:24 | Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? | SELL | 0.939125 | $75.13 |