Hilqueas
0x23897c09b0daf0fb0d20c09671fdbafe428dec03
- Realised P&L
- $-19.64
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $12.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.511Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?
- +$4.62at 0.178Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$1.75at 0.057No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
- +$1.58at 0.140US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$1.37at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 16:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.20 |
| 06-10 12:45 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 12:45 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 12:45 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 20:04 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8649999805 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 00:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3389999675 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 00:08 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.083 | $1.69 |
| 05-13 19:34 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12299998 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 19:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.276 | $4.29 |
| 05-05 23:49 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999672 | $2.00 |
| 04-23 05:33 | Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.1795850396 | $0.95 |
| 04-23 05:29 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $2.90 |
| 04-23 05:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.87 |
| 04-23 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $0.90 |