PolyBot

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Traders

Hilqueas

0x23897c09b0daf0fb0d20c09671fdbafe428dec03

Realised P&L
$-19.64
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$12.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3390.546$8.06+$3.06
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8650.991$2.29+$0.29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.041$0.77$2.23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4000.065$0.65$3.35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2800.065$0.23$0.77
Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.2230.041$0.22$0.99
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0170.001$0.09$2.91
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1230.001$0.01$2.49
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$2.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$4.70
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 16:52Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
06-26 16:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.87$1.20
06-10 12:45Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
06-10 12:45Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
06-10 12:45Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
05-20 20:04Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8649999805$2.00
05-14 00:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3389999675$5.00
05-14 00:08Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.083$1.69
05-13 19:34Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.12299998$5.00
05-13 19:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.276$4.29
05-05 23:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999672$2.00
04-23 05:33Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.1795850396$0.95
04-23 05:29Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.4699999702$2.90
04-23 05:26Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?BUY0.1299998986$0.87
04-23 05:26Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?BUY0.2799998432$0.90