PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2386d88C97F0BCbffAe4e59E231983c414c945F4-1782913672617

0x2386d88c97f0bcbffae4e59e231983c414c945f4

Realised P&L
$-29.78
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$4.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No0.5200.725$1.39+$0.39
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3400.355$1.04+$0.04
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9500.945$0.99$0.01
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? · Yes0.1900.125$0.66$0.34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2430.055$0.45$1.55
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? · No0.7200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:51Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-16 21:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
09-16 20:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-13 21:53Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-06 15:17Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.52$1.00
09-02 20:50Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.949999525$1.00
08-27 19:49Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-27?SELL0.985$1.14
08-27 18:57Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.021$0.54
08-27 18:56Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-27?BUY0.859999914$1.00
08-26 21:24Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
08-17 14:31Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?SELL0.005$0.02
08-14 18:53Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
08-13 06:11Will Rodri join Barcelona?SELL0.144$1.47
08-07 06:11Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.0392156863$1.00
08-07 06:11Will Rodri join Barcelona?BUY0.0979999177$1.00