0x2386d88C97F0BCbffAe4e59E231983c414c945F4-1782913672617
0x2386d88c97f0bcbffae4e59e231983c414c945f4
- Realised P&L
- $-29.78
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $4.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No | 0.520 | 0.725 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.355 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.125 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.055 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.56at 0.223Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
- +$1.84at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.44at 0.410Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
- +$1.33at 0.883Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.23at 0.361Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:51 | Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:53 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 15:17 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 20:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 19:49 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-27? | SELL | 0.985 | $1.14 |
| 08-27 18:57 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.54 |
| 08-27 18:56 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 21:24 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 14:31 | Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 08-14 18:53 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 06:11 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.144 | $1.47 |
| 08-07 06:11 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0392156863 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 06:11 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0979999177 | $1.00 |