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Traders

VatnikPride

0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$276.1k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7340.725$632.40$7.88
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.505$413.93$86.06
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.8300.830$355.02+$0.00
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.185$92.50$12.50
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.855$80.20+$24.86
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3830.485$65.50+$13.74
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2010.205$29.58+$0.60
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$25.50$19.50
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0840.035$21.30$29.35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1150.065$13.00$10.00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.100$10.00$14.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2140.019$9.51$97.50
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.029$5.90$14.10
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0900.080$5.74$0.76
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.048$4.75$6.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:57Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$305.08
09-16 10:52Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.02$2.40
09-13 08:17Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.02$0.73
09-11 10:02Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.16$9.60
09-11 09:07Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.19$11.28
09-10 22:05Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$43.20
09-03 22:48Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
08-31 18:59Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$4.40
08-19 07:37Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.14$14.00
07-19 18:30Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.22$42.02
07-16 17:44Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.21$32.66
07-14 14:46Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?BUY0.95384375$183.14
07-04 13:41Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.57$11.94
06-07 13:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.233$3.26
06-06 19:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.67$6.70