VatnikPride
0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $269.1k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.658Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$809.38at 0.649Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
- +$730.98at 0.597Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?
- +$716.48at 0.705Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
- +$597.76at 0.191Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:30 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $42.02 |
| 07-16 17:44 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $32.66 |
| 07-14 14:46 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.95384375 | $183.14 |
| 07-04 13:41 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.94 |
| 06-07 13:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.233 | $3.26 |
| 06-06 19:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 06-06 19:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-06 19:42 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $49.18 |
| 06-06 19:42 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $132.07 |
| 06-04 16:04 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.57 |
| 06-03 10:15 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $33.97 |
| 06-02 18:13 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $67.20 |
| 06-02 16:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $145.59 |
| 06-01 19:34 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $22.60 |
| 05-29 19:24 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1128666667 | $8.47 |