PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

VatnikPride

0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$269.1k
Markets traded
226
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded226
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.8400.845$1.2k+$7.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2140.160$80.08$26.93
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.745$74.50+$15.50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3830.415$56.05+$4.28
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2010.205$29.58+$0.60
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.210$21.00$3.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3700.195$19.50$17.50
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$15.00$5.00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0840.021$12.30$38.35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.065$6.50$9.50
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.060$6.00$5.00
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.036$3.60$7.40
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0900.025$1.83$4.66
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$28.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:30Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.22$42.02
07-16 17:44Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.21$32.66
07-14 14:46Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?BUY0.95384375$183.14
07-04 13:41Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.57$11.94
06-07 13:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.233$3.26
06-06 19:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.67$6.70
06-06 19:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.67$13.40
06-06 19:42Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.66$49.18
06-06 19:42Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$132.07
06-04 16:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.21$1.57
06-03 10:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.65$33.97
06-02 18:13Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.64$67.20
06-02 16:49Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.63$145.59
06-01 19:34Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$22.60
05-29 19:24Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1128666667$8.47
Trader VatnikPride · PolyBot