blastkwp
0x23635ce37b81faf920edb901a6504525b9c50313
- Realised P&L
- $-31.62
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $270.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.146 | $122.08 | +$22.08 |
| Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $71.43 | +$21.43 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.051 | $50.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.090 | $26.48 | −$48.52 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| D4vd arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.58at 0.864Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
- +$4.71at 0.955Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
- +$0.59at 0.082Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-20 13:46 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0839341359 | $25.59 |
| 12-02 03:23 | Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 12-02 03:15 | Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.3544241916 | $25.00 |
| 12-02 03:00 | D4vd arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.2409304848 | $30.00 |
| 11-19 17:24 | Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31? | BUY | 0.8699999887 | $44.00 |
| 11-19 14:39 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 11-19 14:39 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-19 02:26 | Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31? | BUY | 0.8619963634 | $100.00 |
| 11-19 02:12 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0819999972 | $25.00 |
| 11-19 02:08 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2549525242 | $75.00 |
| 11-19 02:05 | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.9549999999 | $100.00 |