0x23604c1c22a4751c10ce5518cc61f48caa5b7315
0x23604c1c22a4751c10ce5518cc61f48caa5b7315
- Realised P&L
- $3.77
- Volume
- $325.83
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $12.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $3.14 | +$1.05 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.875 | $2.95 | +$0.86 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $2.13 | +$0.04 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.670 | $1.87 | −$0.22 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.860 | $1.72 | +$0.68 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.065 | $0.36 | −$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.36at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$3.22at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.09 |
| 09-21 14:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.04 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999525 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 22:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 05:54 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 14:55 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999724 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 23:21 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 15:21 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 06:57 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.09 |
| 09-14 22:09 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-14 14:08 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.09 |
| 09-14 05:52 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999525 | $2.09 |
| 09-13 21:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.09 |
| 09-10 07:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999109 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 17:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7099999932 | $2.09 |