clanksun
0x235bd7fa33729cf82c1cd20e4186b6d19b9e6b6c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $786.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.960 | $310.79 | +$11.20 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.987 | $225.83 | +$1.71 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.823 | 0.961 | $222.48 | +$31.90 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.875 | $27.44 | +$1.64 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.739 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.12at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$59.13at 0.940US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$54.36at 0.717Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?
- +$38.96at 0.737S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?
- +$37.37at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:10 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $213.83 |
| 09-15 01:10 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.29 |
| 09-15 01:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999507 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 08:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-06 14:24 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.977 | $48.85 |
| 09-06 04:33 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 07-30 00:39 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.887 | $9.76 |
| 07-28 15:42 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.721 | $35.07 |
| 07-28 15:42 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 07-28 15:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2516 | $12.58 |
| 07-27 05:13 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $32.56 |
| 07-27 05:12 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $100.22 |
| 07-27 05:11 | Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 07-27 05:10 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 07-27 05:10 | Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |