0x230c7eac11710a2cf579f39ef7ce4cfcb9436a9a
0x230c7eac11710a2cf579f39ef7ce4cfcb9436a9a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.54
- Volume
- $217.72
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $4.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.485 | $2.06 | −$0.23 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.145 | $1.28 | −$1.01 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.445 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.375 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.349Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:40 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 13:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998422 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 16:25 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? | BUY | 0.539999967 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 11:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 10:17 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 02:17 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3599999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299999367 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 23:12 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.349999934 | $1.06 |
| 09-09 12:54 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3399999555 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 07:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |