0x22CEBbD949aBBd064C4553F52333A6c73C87C001-1774210213178
0x22cebbd949abbd064c4553f52333a6c73c87c001
- Realised P&L
- $-257.16
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $11.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.060 | $3.13 | −$8.48 |
| Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.089 | $2.69 | −$3.02 |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.115 | $2.30 | −$2.10 |
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.032 | $1.57 | −$4.42 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.260 | $0.76 | +$0.44 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.085 | $0.12 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.94at 0.335Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
- +$16.49at 0.101Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$14.64at 0.250LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$10.80at 0.460Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 2 Winner
- +$9.48at 0.190Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 08:18 | Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 05-31 08:18 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.05 |
| 05-31 08:18 | Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.20 |
| 05-27 16:05 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.292 | $0.32 |
| 05-16 10:54 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 05-16 10:53 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 04-18 15:54 | San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | SELL | 0.49 | $2.43 |
| 04-18 15:54 | Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.45 |
| 04-18 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.12 |
| 04-18 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $4.04 |
| 04-18 06:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $1.49 |
| 04-18 06:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $3.17 |
| 04-18 06:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.24 |
| 04-18 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $3.72 |
| 04-18 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $3.56 |