Caramutti
0x22c14ba0976e95200b74a567f4b13e34a2c48cd6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $444.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.48at 0.502Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$255.36at 0.460Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$167.43at 0.634Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$134.85at 0.477England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$122.55at 0.595Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 22:46 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.7513307947 | $26.00 |
| 10-24 22:37 | Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.0153822466 | $25.15 |
| 10-22 15:16 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $117.00 |
| 10-22 15:15 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0851320329 | $45.00 |
| 10-22 15:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799296294 | $400.00 |
| 10-18 22:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999923 | $18.74 |
| 10-18 22:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $128.00 |
| 10-18 22:51 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999974 | $60.00 |
| 10-18 22:49 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $60.00 |
| 10-18 12:45 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.1377056755 | $280.43 |
| 10-06 01:42 | Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0122318207 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 11:46 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | SELL | 0.992 | $113.37 |
| 10-05 11:46 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.988 | $37.46 |
| 10-03 23:04 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.7047251107 | $26.72 |
| 10-03 22:54 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $25.00 |