PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Caramutti

0x22c14ba0976e95200b74a567f4b13e34a2c48cd6

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$444.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.745$136.23+$8.23
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2490.413$83.03+$33.03
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0850.150$79.55+$34.55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.705$69.34+$9.34
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.585$59.49−$0.51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3900.305$14.66−$4.08
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0120.003$1.82−$6.84
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · Yes0.7510.000$0.00−$26.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.3530.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$63.76
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$14.37
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$99.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 22:46Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?BUY0.7513307947$26.00
10-24 22:37Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.0153822466$25.15
10-22 15:16Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?BUY0.7699999997$117.00
10-22 15:15Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0851320329$45.00
10-22 15:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7799296294$400.00
10-18 22:52Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3899999923$18.74
10-18 22:51Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999999995$128.00
10-18 22:51Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5899999974$60.00
10-18 22:49Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999984$60.00
10-18 12:45Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.1377056755$280.43
10-06 01:42Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0122318207$20.00
10-05 11:46Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?SELL0.992$113.37
10-05 11:46Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.988$37.46
10-03 23:04Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.7047251107$26.72
10-03 22:54Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4799999939$25.00