PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x22BFDbCe977910d559672F37A33882B04CDE8642-1769113072053

0x22bfdbce977910d559672f37a33882b04cde8642

Realised P&L
$-504.85
Volume
$38.3k
Markets traded
1,022
Open portfolio
$374.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,022
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1150.055$123.11$133.39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4780.504$66.43+$3.43
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0950.030$63.27$134.74
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6050.635$14.70+$0.70
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3540.360$11.15+$0.18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2350.077$9.56$19.44
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · Yes0.3030.415$8.22+$2.22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6480.695$6.44+$0.44
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2520.245$5.84$0.16
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6800.660$4.85$0.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.145$4.83$0.17
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.1300.125$4.81$0.19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$4.79$0.21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0800.075$4.69$0.31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0670.035$3.61$3.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:33Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?BUY0.0506600395$1.00
09-17 05:33Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0275745244$1.00
09-17 05:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-17 05:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
09-17 05:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-17 05:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-17 05:29Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.74$1.00
09-17 05:29Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-17 05:28U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-17 05:28Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
09-17 05:27Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-17 05:26Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.25$5.00
09-17 05:26Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3609999873$5.00
09-17 05:25Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
09-17 05:25Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5049999795$10.00