0x22BFDbCe977910d559672F37A33882B04CDE8642-1769113072053
0x22bfdbce977910d559672f37a33882b04cde8642
- Realised P&L
- $-504.85
- Volume
- $38.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,022
- Open portfolio
- $374.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,022
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.91at 0.182Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
- +$43.63at 0.473Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.94at 0.382Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$28.46at 0.187US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$21.82at 0.530Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:33 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.0506600395 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:33 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0275745244 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:29 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:28 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:28 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:27 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3609999873 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5049999795 | $10.00 |