PolyBot

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Traders

WaterDrinkMike

0x22b6581ad75ab168cec503376767b83cea46a962

Realised P&L
$-619.24
Volume
$72.6k
Markets traded
326
Open portfolio
$402.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded326
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? · Yes0.5100.395$224.38−$65.24
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.7840.768$115.20−$2.40
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.775$56.76+$4.76
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? · Yes0.4540.180$3.97−$6.03
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.0570.049$2.41−$0.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.5060.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.1670.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.9150.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 20:17Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999963$52.00
10-17 18:52Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.999$51.95
09-19 22:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4299999975$22.00
09-19 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.9154228853$40.00
09-19 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSELL0.96$57.80
09-19 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-19 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-19 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-19 21:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-19 16:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.8599999983$30.00
09-19 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.8499999984$26.00
09-19 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSELL0.33$20.17
09-19 16:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.1799999974$11.00
09-19 08:44Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.101$17.01
09-19 08:44Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.02$3.99