degenwifhat
0x22ae2ba7b96bc5841ae1fa47ae334937f6cbe3f3
- Realised P&L
- $-227.66
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.43at 0.095Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$27.85at 0.246Blue wave in 2026?
- +$11.17at 0.158Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.61at 0.049Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.018Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:32 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.54 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $101.20 |
| 10-29 21:17 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $48.60 |
| 10-29 21:17 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.124 | $48.36 |
| 10-29 13:02 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $81.00 |
| 10-28 23:00 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 22:57 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $50.33 |
| 10-26 01:41 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 01:41 | Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 10-25 14:31 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 22:29 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-24 02:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 02:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0506500084 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 02:45 | Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.85 |