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Traders

Alex255385

0x22aa24b58b2db9a1966e7578c9f6edb79f2b0cae

Realised P&L
$11.6k
Volume
$843.8k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.7500.665$1.8k−$226.66
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2400.235$195.83−$4.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.123$81.25+$31.25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.028$26.61−$3.39
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.021$25.63+$15.63
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0030.003$25.00−$5.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.025$18.85−$1.15
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.019$17.27+$7.27
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0130.012$12.92−$1.08
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$12.69−$37.31
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.013$11.82+$1.82
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0130.011$11.23−$2.77
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.010$11.11+$1.11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes0.0110.011$10.45+$0.45
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? · Yes0.0060.006$10.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:212026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2399999998$100.00
11-01 22:152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.006$10.00
11-01 21:56Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?BUY0.006$10.00
11-01 21:50Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.75$1000.00
11-01 21:482026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2399999998$100.00
11-01 21:16Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.75$1000.00
11-01 21:04Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.026$20.00
11-01 21:01Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?BUY0.008$10.00
11-01 21:01Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?BUY0.008$10.00
11-01 21:01Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.009$10.00
11-01 20:36Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$10.00
11-01 20:35Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?BUY0.008$10.00
11-01 20:33Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?BUY0.011$10.00
11-01 20:17Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.04$10.00
11-01 19:58Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.013$14.00
Trader Alex255385 · PolyBot Pro