PolyBot

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Traders

Jafalco

0x229a8531d39e1e09f5fcf577938c0f22e403701f

Realised P&L
$-97.99
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$5.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2000.165$4.13$0.88
Diddy released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.1990.019$0.48$4.52
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2000.017$0.41$4.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$4.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 7? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.5750.000$0.00$66.32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$10.00
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$84.32
07-17 10:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5859999977$49.46
06-16 13:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.994$20.71
06-08 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.529999965$5.00
06-04 17:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$2.00
06-03 17:14Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.16$2.00
06-03 17:14Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.16$3.58
06-02 10:55Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?SELL0.97$19.36
06-02 10:55Nothing Ever Happens: MaySELL0.996$14.02
05-11 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.2099999798$8.00
05-11 12:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
05-11 12:27Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?BUY0.4080780278$10.00
05-11 12:23Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1223529195$4.80
05-11 01:39Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?BUY0.550953706$11.00
05-06 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.5$26.32