Jafalco
0x229a8531d39e1e09f5fcf577938c0f22e403701f
- Realised P&L
- $-97.99
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.83at 0.598Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.66at 0.090Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.71at 0.480US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.15at 0.561Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
- +$5.86at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $84.32 |
| 07-17 10:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5859999977 | $49.46 |
| 06-16 13:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $20.71 |
| 06-08 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 17:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 17:14 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 17:14 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.58 |
| 06-02 10:55 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.36 |
| 06-02 10:55 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SELL | 0.996 | $14.02 |
| 05-11 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999798 | $8.00 |
| 05-11 12:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 12:27 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May? | BUY | 0.4080780278 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 12:23 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1223529195 | $4.80 |
| 05-11 01:39 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.550953706 | $11.00 |
| 05-06 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $26.32 |