bob-2026
0x2291bb5f5b33792e375f9a01f54e46287fece565
- Realised P&L
- $-180.02
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $97.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.07at 0.014Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$40.11at 0.913US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$37.69at 0.919Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
- +$30.54at 0.784US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$25.11at 0.580Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 14:01 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.56 | $16.79 |
| 07-06 23:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.36 |
| 07-06 23:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 07-06 22:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 07-04 22:29 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-04 22:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 07-04 22:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.75 |
| 07-04 22:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-04 22:27 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-02 23:18 | Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2? | BUY | 0.489 | $2.44 |
| 07-02 00:24 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-02 00:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-02 00:20 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-01 16:13 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 07-01 16:12 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |