fhgynheeew
0x2283763539241ace035e10360ff09113e8ebd633
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $157.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.095 | $157.22 | −$57.92 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 23? · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$576.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.500Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?
- +$135.43at 0.245Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$83.26at 0.642Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$11.10at 0.630Warriors vs. Lakers
- +$4.00at 0.381Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 02:11 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.035 | $10.15 |
| 07-03 02:10 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.035 | $9.80 |
| 07-03 02:10 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.035 | $11.55 |
| 07-03 02:09 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.035 | $10.50 |
| 06-28 11:31 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.037 | $10.36 |
| 05-22 09:50 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.684 | $266.76 |
| 05-22 09:49 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.684 | $294.12 |
| 05-22 09:49 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.684 | $290.70 |
| 05-22 09:49 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.684 | $242.82 |
| 05-22 09:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.684 | $273.60 |
| 04-24 12:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.69 | $242.18 |
| 04-19 01:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.6979999996 | $244.99 |
| 04-02 02:10 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.512 | $468.99 |
| 03-28 07:07 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.511 | $468.08 |
| 01-11 06:46 | Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11? | SELL | 0.72 | $720.00 |