PolyBot

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Traders

0x2282A5Df432938249233497348929384202209

0x2282a5df686f9dd2326bba576226850d439273e8

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$256.2k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8040.865$3.8k+$267.05
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.8750.885$2.4k+$26.84
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2600.275$1.1k+$62.40
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.581$934.61−$79.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 07:34Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?SELL0.4417371174$441.73
10-30 06:49Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6299277019$1.0k
10-29 23:10Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.89$534.00
10-29 17:02Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.89$534.00
10-29 11:48Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.8898168966$516.09
10-28 22:12Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.4575313636$100.66
10-28 20:21Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.89$623.00
10-28 20:19Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?SELL0.3518982536$92.69
10-28 17:55Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$59.73
10-28 17:53Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?BUY0.36$84.60
10-28 08:49Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$234.00
10-28 08:46Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?BUY0.8524524$426.23
10-28 06:23Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?BUY0.82$656.00
10-28 06:00Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$249.60
10-27 16:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.5850963889$526.59