0x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-1756591558414
0x225b7c9aaf6108ded29b9fda9939aa671ef6422a
- Realised P&L
- $20.3k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $39.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.7kat 0.409Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$5.9kat 0.149Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.566Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$3.2kat 0.220Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?
- +$2.5kat 0.600Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:20 | Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.957233407 | $307.34 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.8649079755 | $704.90 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.0113644433 | $2.14 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.22 | $33.00 |
| 11-01 02:08 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.1067741935 | $16.55 |
| 11-01 02:08 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.4635714286 | $194.70 |
| 11-01 02:07 | Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.524860791 | $603.44 |
| 10-30 18:18 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.2892932483 | $385.63 |
| 10-30 17:55 | Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | SELL | 0.9020481928 | $374.35 |
| 10-30 17:21 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3276924 | $491.54 |
| 10-30 04:38 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29708 | $297.08 |
| 10-30 04:36 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3965804371 | $147.54 |
| 10-30 01:09 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.37 | $541.50 |
| 10-30 01:09 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.36 | $13.12 |
| 10-29 02:51 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699349997 | $339.87 |