252
0x224b255eaa3279ceb77330317d3c38ee8e73f6b8
- Realised P&L
- $84.4k
- Volume
- $6.19M
- Markets traded
- 7,087
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,087
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.589Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.297Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
- +$4.8kat 0.046Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP World Championship?
- +$3.6kat 0.020Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$3.6kat 0.104Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 21:56 | Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.01 |
| 05-19 07:04 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $48.00 |
| 05-14 04:48 | Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:34 | Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.34 |
| 05-11 22:33 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 05-11 22:31 | Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 05-11 22:31 | Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 02-22 09:37 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $40.26 |
| 02-04 17:31 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.13 | $25.35 |
| 02-01 09:09 | Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.54 |