252
0x224b255eaa3279ceb77330317d3c38ee8e73f6b8
- Realised P&L
- $30.1k
- Volume
- $6.01M
- Markets traded
- 7,111
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,111
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.035Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.589Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
- +$5.1kat 0.304Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
- +$3.9kat 0.048Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP World Championship?
- +$3.5kat 0.620Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:57 | Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.8853324267 | $29.30 |
| 09-21 02:12 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $178.67 |
| 09-17 06:38 | Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.37 |
| 09-06 20:34 | Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.43 |
| 09-06 17:05 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.6601644631 | $81.89 |
| 09-06 16:25 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.4995238095 | $52.45 |
| 09-06 16:02 | Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.88995 | $1.8k |
| 09-06 16:02 | Will CDU win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 09-06 16:01 | Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.93 | $40.40 |
| 07-22 21:56 | Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.01 |
| 05-19 07:04 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $48.00 |
| 05-14 04:48 | Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:34 | Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.34 |
| 05-11 22:33 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |
| 05-11 22:32 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.24 |