PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

252

0x224b255eaa3279ceb77330317d3c38ee8e73f6b8

Realised P&L
$84.4k
Volume
$6.19M
Markets traded
7,087
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,087
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9570.988$987.50+$30.50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.865$865.01$5.00
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.3440.045$33.26$221.40
Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.9620.999$16.85+$0.62
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes0.2300.150$15.47$8.23
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$12.83$27.26
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$11.15$23.69
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00$37.60
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00$37.60
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00$37.60
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.85$33.05
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.55$30.93
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.55$30.93
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.55$30.93
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.55$30.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 21:56Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$4.01
05-19 07:04Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$48.00
05-14 04:48Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:34Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.028$0.34
05-11 22:33Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:32Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:32Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:32Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.001$0.62
05-11 22:32Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.001$0.62
05-11 22:32Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.001$0.62
05-11 22:31Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.001$0.62
05-11 22:31Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.001$0.62
02-22 09:37Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$40.26
02-04 17:31Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.13$25.35
02-01 09:09Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.006$1.54