PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

252

0x224b255eaa3279ceb77330317d3c38ee8e73f6b8

Realised P&L
$30.1k
Volume
$6.01M
Markets traded
7,111
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,111
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4250.565$1.4k+$350.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1670.115$126.86−$56.84
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · No0.8850.901$29.81+$0.52
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$11.15−$23.16
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00−$37.60
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00−$37.60
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00−$37.60
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$9.00−$37.60
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.70−$32.16
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.55−$31.16
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$7.27−$30.38
Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.0160.021$6.23+$1.42
Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.0160.006$3.09−$5.06
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.001$3.00−$43.60
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.001$2.62−$38.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 22:57Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?BUY0.8853324267$29.30
09-21 02:12Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.998$178.67
09-17 06:38Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.038$4.37
09-06 20:34Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?BUY0.993$1.43
09-06 17:05Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.6601644631$81.89
09-06 16:25Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.4995238095$52.45
09-06 16:02Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 10-15%?BUY0.88995$1.8k
09-06 16:02Will CDU win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.62$62.00
09-06 16:01Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?BUY0.93$40.40
07-22 21:56Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$4.01
05-19 07:04Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$48.00
05-14 04:48Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:34Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.028$0.34
05-11 22:33Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24
05-11 22:32Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$1.24