0x223b1E457964577Ff4FB18c7F40f454433b885df-1768735176852
0x223b1e457964577ff4fb18c7f40f454433b885df
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $216.8k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.707Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$849.23at 0.124Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$834.00at 0.264US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
- +$700.00at 0.110US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$227.76at 0.080US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 18:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.01 |
| 10-09 18:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.063 | $54.81 |
| 10-07 06:44 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.104 | $4.81 |
| 10-04 21:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.06 | $42.00 |
| 10-04 21:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 17:28 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.10 |
| 10-04 17:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.37 | $51.80 |
| 10-03 20:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 20:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $114.00 |
| 10-02 13:13 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $72.22 |
| 09-30 11:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.45 |
| 09-29 14:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.27 | $58.72 |
| 09-28 12:40 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.25 | $125.00 |
| 09-28 10:56 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $15.18 |
| 09-28 10:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |