PolyBot

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Traders

0x223b1E457964577Ff4FB18c7F40f454433b885df-1768735176852

0x223b1e457964577ff4fb18c7f40f454433b885df

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$216.8k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3100.425$756.50+$204.70
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.2700.365$390.55+$101.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1780.145$203.00−$47.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2580.185$142.71−$56.29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$97.06−$2.94
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1510.121$91.56−$22.57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0830.033$60.77−$94.03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0770.065$60.13−$10.87
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.335$46.90−$4.90
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.1630.105$32.11−$17.89
Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? · Yes0.1040.223$26.57+$14.18
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1440.060$20.78−$29.22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2000.128$12.75−$7.25
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1300.135$9.45+$0.35
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.048$7.60−$5.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 18:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.007$3.01
10-09 18:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.063$54.81
10-07 06:44Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?BUY0.104$4.81
10-04 21:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.06$42.00
10-04 21:33US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.1$100.00
10-04 17:28Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.13$9.10
10-04 17:27Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.37$51.80
10-03 20:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.2$40.00
10-03 20:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.19$114.00
10-02 13:13Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.999$72.22
09-30 11:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.029$1.45
09-29 14:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.27$58.72
09-28 12:40Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.25$125.00
09-28 10:56Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.21$15.18
09-28 10:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.04$20.00