PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rstk

0x221cf29a86f9457b6f7d1629c3b104906de6cf1a

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$75.3k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$66.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2000.063$66.23−$144.43
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$15.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$55.00
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$62.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$13.37
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$48.39
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00−$52.92
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$18.70
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28? · No0.0430.000$0.00−$125.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:23Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?SELL0.31$46.50
10-14 12:26Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?BUY0.1$15.00
10-14 12:26Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
10-02 12:26Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?BUY0.1$43.83
10-02 12:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0663713494$50.00
09-11 10:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.19$81.89
09-07 14:30Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1699999977$48.77
08-21 14:41NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0466621362$17.00
08-20 10:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.239999998$80.00
07-15 10:17Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.352499997$52.92
07-14 20:41Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.014999997$5.00
07-14 20:22Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.0275$50.00
07-14 20:21Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.8625$71.17
07-14 19:23Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.5175$42.70
07-14 17:08Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2974999972$49.10