Adrbar
0x2213498a03fdff66450fbbd190c01834798868b5
- Realised P&L
- $-13.17
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $84.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.43at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$5.92at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$4.27at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$3.96at 0.721Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?
- +$3.76at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 05:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 05:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 14:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 14:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999971 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 05:14 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $6.98 |
| 09-06 05:43 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.9659998818 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 19:11 | Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | BUY | 0.954999384 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 04:44 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 04:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 04:34 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 04:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $7.01 |
| 08-22 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |