PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x2213498a03fdff66450fbbd190c01834798868b5

Realised P&L
$-13.17
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$84.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes0.8400.905$21.55+$1.55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5440.645$17.77+$2.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.845$15.27+$0.27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9300.925$9.95−$0.05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8320.875$5.26+$0.26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9711.000$5.15+$0.15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6100.645$4.23+$0.23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.925$2.10+$0.10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.6200.195$1.57−$3.43
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing0.9550.937$0.98−$0.02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0270.008$0.30−$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down0.2410.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:07Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-30 05:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.982999998$5.00
09-30 05:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.839999995$20.00
09-27 14:122026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6099999116$4.00
09-27 14:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9299999953$10.00
09-16 05:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999971$12.00
09-16 05:14Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.95$6.98
09-06 05:43Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.9659998818$5.00
08-31 19:11Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaBUY0.954999384$1.00
08-27 04:44Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$2.00
08-27 04:43Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-27 04:34Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?SELL0.92$5.00
08-27 04:34NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.962$7.01
08-22 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
08-22 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.9$5.00