PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alligadoor

0x220a789c3e3045a3ce9b8f2b00f7d564a614de1a

Realised P&L
$8.78
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$311.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.9640.967$56.06+$0.14
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · No0.9830.979$55.80$0.23
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.9600.959$55.59$0.09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9770.975$52.88$0.11
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat? · Yes0.9500.955$46.66+$0.24
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9830.980$44.22$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 13:31Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.9359999705$20.54