gandalf
0x21f90e5ff30c12f52fbb2fb220aa268f22faed12
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $21.10M
- Markets traded
- 1,087
- Open portfolio
- $28.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,087
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.9kat 0.298Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
- +$7.9kat 0.102Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
- +$7.1kat 0.134Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$6.2kat 0.001Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
- +$6.1kat 0.001Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 22:21 | Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0152141403 | $602.92 |
| 04-28 21:18 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | SELL | 0.98616572 | $986.17 |
| 04-28 21:15 | Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.0149376535 | $30.17 |
| 04-28 20:53 | Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.2487228008 | $291.14 |
| 04-28 20:18 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.016 | $81.88 |
| 04-28 20:13 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $80.63 |
| 04-28 20:11 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $51.18 |
| 04-28 20:02 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.017 | $27.03 |
| 04-28 18:53 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0275845397 | $480.67 |
| 04-28 18:50 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.53 |
| 04-28 16:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.09 | $211.50 |
| 04-28 15:43 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 04-28 15:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.0072357006 | $168.15 |
| 04-28 15:04 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $28.00 |
| 04-28 14:55 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $3.45 |