UZZ242
0x21f41e8e53a9ea8f9eacf4db99961e37f610b8ad
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $407.6k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.442Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$953.71at 0.300Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$855.15at 0.759UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$784.00at 0.598Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$500.00at 0.500Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:11 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.905 | $27.62 |
| 10-20 11:11 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9298333333 | $223.16 |
| 10-20 10:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.871811516 | $397.60 |
| 10-20 00:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.8508406057 | $342.22 |
| 10-19 22:42 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9662085576 | $143.62 |
| 10-19 20:00 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.98 |
| 10-19 20:00 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $518.77 |
| 10-19 18:23 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $289.16 |
| 10-19 18:16 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $46.88 |
| 10-19 17:16 | Paris curfew by October 24? | SELL | 0.752 | $188.00 |
| 10-19 13:50 | Paris curfew by October 24? | BUY | 0.63 | $50.40 |
| 10-19 13:49 | Paris curfew by October 24? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.03 |
| 10-19 11:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.8989445471 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 09:46 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $863.57 |
| 10-19 08:14 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.7 | $40.44 |