desand
0x21de668297c24bb1e7af2322197d0a6ae08ecb92
- Realised P&L
- $-182.76
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $45.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.57at 0.350First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$16.50at 0.400Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Trump say “Shit" or "Ass” this week? (November 10 - 16)
- +$12.23at 0.036Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$11.75at 0.400Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $9.69 |
| 02-02 22:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 22:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 22:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0233367691 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 22:31 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0471153761 | $5.00 |
| 02-02 22:31 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0136611607 | $6.00 |
| 02-02 22:31 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0079419602 | $5.00 |
| 02-02 22:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.254 | $14.23 |
| 11-20 12:16 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.33 |
| 11-19 13:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999424 | $1.80 |
| 11-19 13:18 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999912 | $1.50 |
| 11-15 12:39 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.1219999824 | $5.70 |
| 11-15 12:38 | Will Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16) | SELL | 0.8372886297 | $5.74 |
| 11-15 03:59 | Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (November 17 – 23) | BUY | 0.7899999939 | $2.60 |
| 11-15 03:57 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.135918428 | $5.00 |