PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

desand

0x21de668297c24bb1e7af2322197d0a6ae08ecb92

Realised P&L
$-156.49
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$34.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.6100.874$14.32+$4.32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0870.159$9.11+$4.11
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.025$2.78$17.22
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3300.065$1.97$8.03
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0550.021$1.61$2.72
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0820.026$1.59$3.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.040$1.16$3.84
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$0.85$2.15
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.2900.050$0.85$4.15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1080.022$0.28$1.05
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.2300.019$0.25$2.75
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$12.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.2200.000$0.00$1.50
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$12.50
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-02 22:36Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5099999786$9.69
02-02 22:34Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
02-02 22:33Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
02-02 22:33Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0233367691$10.00
02-02 22:31Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.0471153761$5.00
02-02 22:31Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.0136611607$6.00
02-02 22:31Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.0079419602$5.00
02-02 22:29Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.254$14.23
11-20 12:16Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?SELL0.02$0.33
11-19 13:24Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.1399999424$1.80
11-19 13:18Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?BUY0.219999912$1.50
11-15 12:39Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?BUY0.1219999824$5.70
11-15 12:38Will Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16)SELL0.8372886297$5.74
11-15 03:59Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (November 17 – 23)BUY0.7899999939$2.60
11-15 03:57Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?BUY0.135918428$5.00