PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bigshort

0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925

Realised P&L
$18.1k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
500
Open portfolio
$20.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded500
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$7.0k+$2.5k
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8460.921$3.8k+$307.63
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9460.976$2.3k+$69.32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$2.0k$2.5k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8490.935$1.7k+$155.80
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7090.895$1.3k+$261.75
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8280.893$1.2k+$88.30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8960.958$957.51+$61.50
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9000.936$468.25+$18.25
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.6600.942$163.93+$49.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 11:02Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?SELL0.968$0.10
08-11 01:49Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.987$303.31
08-09 05:44Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.944$56.64
08-07 08:02Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?BUY0.912139312$213.19
08-01 15:51Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?SELL0.31$217.00
07-30 05:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.968$19.36
07-30 01:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.969$38.37
07-29 23:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.968$252.06
07-26 07:36Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.9582859046$1.2k
07-25 08:57Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
07-25 08:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
07-25 04:57Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.92$460.00
07-25 04:57Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?SELL0.93$527.50
07-25 04:56Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.919$104.77
07-25 04:55Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.919$138.77