PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$23.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8460.962$3.7k+$440.62
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9360.977$3.2k+$132.42
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.952$3.0k+$70.65
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8980.980$2.0k+$162.00
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.945$1.9k+$136.07
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9730.997$1.7k+$40.31
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8490.950$1.4k+$151.80
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7090.961$1.4k+$354.47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9400.955$955.00+$15.00
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9590.977$797.57+$14.98
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.8130.845$738.02+$27.95
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.7350.840$671.99+$84.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7460.795$556.50+$34.08
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8120.880$500.52+$38.83
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9000.960$479.75+$29.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:50Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9503342246$28.43
10-29 07:48Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9589618529$754.16
10-27 14:48Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.973$1.7k
10-27 06:05Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.924$1.2k
10-27 06:03Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?SELL0.978$162.89
10-27 06:02Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?SELL0.977$97.70
10-25 22:27Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.923$276.90
10-24 15:44Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.928$158.18
10-24 15:42Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.927$27.81
10-24 15:41Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.926$18.52
10-24 15:41Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.925$290.28
10-23 05:46Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?BUY0.94$423.39
10-22 07:31Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.88$35.44
10-22 03:26Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.936$16.10
10-21 13:48Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?SELL0.8$21.85