0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $23.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.905Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.959Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$1.1kat 0.846Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$1.1kat 0.938Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$960.00at 0.020Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:50 | Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9503342246 | $28.43 |
| 10-29 07:48 | Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9589618529 | $754.16 |
| 10-27 14:48 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.973 | $1.7k |
| 10-27 06:05 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.2k |
| 10-27 06:03 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $162.89 |
| 10-27 06:02 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 10-25 22:27 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.923 | $276.90 |
| 10-24 15:44 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $158.18 |
| 10-24 15:42 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $27.81 |
| 10-24 15:41 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.926 | $18.52 |
| 10-24 15:41 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $290.28 |
| 10-23 05:46 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax? | BUY | 0.94 | $423.39 |
| 10-22 07:31 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.44 |
| 10-22 03:26 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.936 | $16.10 |
| 10-21 13:48 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $21.85 |