stragsdfasegbaes
0x21bcd9744b7916bff56037afac12201dc2e34681
- Realised P&L
- $-199.26
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $738.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No | 0.840 | 0.986 | $197.20 | +$29.20 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No | 0.771 | 0.580 | $175.17 | −$57.86 |
| Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026? · No | 0.935 | 0.901 | $173.62 | −$6.48 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.435 | $109.09 | −$96.55 |
| Will USD/KRW hit 1100 (Low) in 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.885 | $44.63 | −$1.60 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.855 | $34.20 | +$1.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November? · No | 0.860 | 0.830 | $4.15 | −$0.15 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by August 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.38at 0.603Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$56.71at 0.705Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
- +$50.71at 0.789Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
- +$41.93at 0.128Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
- +$37.62at 0.685Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 08:24 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 11-01 08:24 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-25 13:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 08-17 09:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 08-17 09:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 08-15 08:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 08-15 08:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-07 16:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-06 05:57 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $31.68 |
| 08-06 03:58 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.75 |
| 08-06 03:57 | Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $9.01 |
| 08-06 03:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-06 03:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 08-06 00:36 | Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |