PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2197a61ebd0fd499c85abf141237256a7e605cfd

0x2197a61ebd0fd499c85abf141237256a7e605cfd

Realised P&L
$-9.17
Volume
$201.03
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$5.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.945$3.04+$0.95
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No0.7900.881$1.12+$0.12
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes0.8000.660$0.82−$0.17
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes0.3800.130$0.71−$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 04:35Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?BUY0.8$1.00
09-29 08:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-29 00:25Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-27 02:53Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-26 08:11Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 21:40Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-25 13:39S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.78$1.00
09-25 04:53Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-24 19:070 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-23 22:28Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7899999471$2.09
09-23 14:28Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call?BUY0.7199999449$2.09
09-23 06:26Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4699999483$2.09
09-20 21:42Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?BUY0.38$2.09
09-19 07:45Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$2.09
09-17 21:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6599999305$2.09