Fatcat3210
0x215ad9c6cea9bafff835f60bfe9665a4b732360a
- Realised P&L
- $5.47
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $621.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.83at 0.588Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$4.48at 0.690Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?
- +$2.69at 0.750Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.790Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.890Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:58 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999902 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 22:03 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 12:46 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 10:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999877 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 10:41 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $46.74 |
| 10-25 10:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 10:26 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 16:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 14:35 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1709999946 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 09:37 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9099998705 | $4.78 |
| 10-24 09:36 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 09:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 09:36 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |