PolyBot

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Traders

Fatcat3210

0x215ad9c6cea9bafff835f60bfe9665a4b732360a

Realised P&L
$5.47
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$621.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.740$210.13−$39.88
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.8300.845$101.81+$1.81
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? · No0.9310.915$85.28−$1.46
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6920.680$27.11−$0.49
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7600.855$22.50+$2.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.680$20.92+$0.92
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1000.155$15.50+$5.50
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.940$10.22+$0.22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9400.945$10.05+$0.05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9730.974$10.01+$0.01
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.910$9.89−$0.11
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$9.71−$0.29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.3700.320$8.65−$1.35
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9750.960$6.79−$0.11
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? · Yes0.1900.230$6.05+$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:58Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9199999902$30.00
11-01 17:57Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0559999996$5.00
11-01 17:57Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9199999338$10.00
10-28 22:03Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$200.00
10-25 12:46Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
10-25 10:46Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999877$50.00
10-25 10:41Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.94$46.74
10-25 10:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-25 10:26Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?BUY0.659999963$5.00
10-24 16:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-24 14:35Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1709999946$5.00
10-24 09:37Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.9099998705$4.78
10-24 09:36Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9199999338$5.00
10-24 09:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$5.00
10-24 09:36Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999338$10.00