RollingChipsMk1
0x21508f044fdb604630a321e430a50e5181acfa7b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $180.7k
- Markets traded
- 7,394
- Open portfolio
- $66.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,394
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.76at 0.010Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$147.41at 0.120Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
- +$102.37at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$101.06at 0.011Solana Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$101.06at 0.011Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 17:39 | Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.35 | $8.96 |
| 08-18 17:32 | Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.43 | $11.00 |
| 08-18 02:18 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.04 |
| 08-18 00:56 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.92 |
| 08-05 09:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.87 |
| 08-04 10:12 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.28 |
| 08-03 02:29 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.112 | $2.47 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $3.39 |
| 07-28 14:14 | Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.01 |
| 07-07 00:50 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.63 | $8.99 |
| 07-07 00:31 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5702419984 | $14.61 |
| 07-06 22:20 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.57 |
| 07-06 21:27 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.58 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 21:17 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.65 | $17.32 |
| 07-06 21:06 | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2902029391 | $8.29 |