PolyBot

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Traders

RollingChipsMk1

0x21508f044fdb604630a321e430a50e5181acfa7b

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$180.7k
Markets traded
7,394
Open portfolio
$66.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,394
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.7000.845$26.86+$4.61
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2140.765$17.12+$12.33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.3410.530$13.66+$4.86
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1760.057$7.68$16.24
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2200.235$1.37+$0.09
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.2900.000$0.00$8.29
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$4.99
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$7.31
Will nocries play an HLTV-recorded match by June 30? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$14.25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$0.58
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.04
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.6420.000$0.00$22.32
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$3.52
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates0.6520.000$0.00$19.41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00$23.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 17:39Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21?SELL0.35$8.96
08-18 17:32Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21?BUY0.43$11.00
08-18 02:18Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?BUY0.08$2.04
08-18 00:56Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4$3.92
08-05 09:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$14.87
08-04 10:12Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.22$1.28
08-03 02:29Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.112$2.47
08-03 02:23Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.154$3.39
07-28 14:14Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$1.01
07-07 00:50Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.63$8.99
07-07 00:31Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5702419984$14.61
07-06 22:20Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.65$16.57
07-06 21:27Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?SELL0.58$15.00
07-06 21:17Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.65$17.32
07-06 21:06Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2902029391$8.29