0x213a5e28d89cfccb1813f64b5d4c94b7acd1fd15
0x213a5e28d89cfccb1813f64b5d4c94b7acd1fd15
- Realised P&L
- $1.39
- Volume
- $609.48
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $8.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.512 | $3.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.926 | 1.000 | $3.24 | +$0.24 |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.073 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.028 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.05at 0.185Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$1.76at 0.170Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$0.72at 0.180Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.44at 0.756Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
- +$0.17at 0.896Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9259999833 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 10:57 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4049999291 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 10:53 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.07 |
| 06-19 12:49 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 01:01 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 00:22 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 12:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 12:40 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 10:14 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9049999638 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 10:13 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 10:18 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 03:32 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.76 |
| 04-18 08:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.06 |
| 04-16 20:12 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 20:08 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3849998518 | $1.00 |