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Traders

agagyu

0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56

Realised P&L
$32.6k
Volume
$1.55M
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$77.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8360.935$13.4k+$1.4k
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8810.872$12.3k$126.44
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8590.925$6.8k+$487.32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8240.815$6.7k$75.85
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.8020.805$4.8k+$19.64
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · No0.8750.905$4.8k+$157.45
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9460.951$3.9k+$21.98
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · No0.8380.890$3.5k+$206.26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7860.765$2.6k$71.78
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.8590.825$2.5k$102.06
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8600.855$2.3k$13.61
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7100.745$1.7k+$77.53
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? · No0.8880.920$1.6k+$53.93
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · No0.8670.905$1.6k+$65.36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4900.590$1.5k+$257.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.82$1.4k
09-18 14:51Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$1.5k
09-18 14:50US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.9$96.30
09-18 14:11Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?SELL0.8967253492$440.35
09-18 13:20Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.935$25.05
09-18 13:01Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.83$3.6k
09-18 04:23Israeli forces enter Choukine by September 30?SELL0.989$9.89
09-18 00:57Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.61$1.0k
09-17 17:31Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.94$3.1k
09-17 11:36Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?SELL0.87$188.39
09-17 11:29Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.944$136.88
09-17 11:29Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.944$199.18
09-17 11:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.943$94.30
09-17 11:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.944$199.18
09-17 11:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9439221698$400.22
Trader agagyu · PolyBot Pro