0x21031d99bca6fd4c889aaecafce3aa9fed55d269
- Realised P&L
- $-4.00
- Volume
- $587.06
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $321.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.445 | $85.01 | −$16.49 |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.605 | $80.43 | −$4.02 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.600 | $68.01 | +$7.01 |
| Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.680 | $52.13 | +$6.13 |
| Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.425 | $25.06 | +$2.65 |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.760 | $10.70 | +$0.70 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:22 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.45 |
| 09-11 23:35 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 23:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999955 | $31.00 |
| 09-10 02:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999921 | $10.50 |
| 09-10 02:09 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 22:14 | Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.379999918 | $2.41 |
| 09-06 22:13 | Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 22:12 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5508196381 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 22:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 22:11 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 19:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 18:56 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 18:52 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:35 | Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:34 | Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |