0x20ea17368a5591d14535b59ac0a6621f7676b820
0x20ea17368a5591d14535b59ac0a6621f7676b820
- Realised P&L
- $-9.53
- Volume
- $119.70
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.870 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.410 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.30 | −$1.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.268S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?
- +$3.51at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:03 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099999843 | $1.36 |
| 08-22 05:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2399999219 | $2.09 |
| 08-18 19:30 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 10:51 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999484 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 02:44 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999471 | $2.09 |
| 08-12 16:21 | Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.369999931 | $2.09 |
| 08-12 08:20 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.2399999219 | $2.09 |
| 08-12 00:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999246 | $2.09 |