PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7r4d3rdaag

0x20c7aecbd9434a7b7959ad99acc0cf97da1364d4

Realised P&L
$16.02
Volume
$393.06
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$40.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 13:49Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?SELL0.69$20.70
10-11 15:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.35$9.80
10-04 18:06Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.72$3.60
10-04 18:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.83$4.15
10-04 17:58Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$3.00
09-30 19:08Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.39$2.73
09-30 19:04Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.056$0.77
09-30 19:02Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?BUY0.38$2.66
09-30 19:01Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?BUY0.37$2.96
09-30 17:13Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.06$1.50
09-29 20:39Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.3398135427$3.46