AsmecK
0x209114e211fa659558df46d02b6dc00c1db532ec
- Realised P&L
- $19.20
- Volume
- $390.05
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $8.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.14at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$2.89at 0.415Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?
- +$2.16at 0.321Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$2.01at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$1.99at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 04:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.529999992 | $1.33 |
| 10-02 04:51 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.371 | $1.39 |
| 10-02 00:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299998667 | $1.04 |
| 10-02 00:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 00:27 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998481 | $1.09 |
| 10-01 00:25 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5329998886 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 00:17 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4429998711 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:15 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6119999731 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.70 |
| 09-30 21:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.603 | $1.00 |