KristianSnake
0x208658999b8fe6d794977f28a3c842461b9a3c01
- Realised P&L
- $-33.77
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $334.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.438 | 1.000 | $228.42 | +$128.42 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.019 | $31.91 | −$58.09 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $24.75 | −$5.25 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.022 | $21.24 | −$78.76 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $14.35 | −$5.65 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.065 | $9.17 | −$45.83 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.041 | $4.50 | −$15.50 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.00at 0.230Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$74.41at 0.032US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$12.08at 0.200Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
- +$9.80at 0.500S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?
- +$4.29at 0.700US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 23:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.80 |
| 03-05 16:16 | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? | SELL | 0.26 | $52.08 |
| 03-03 15:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2102987444 | $13.00 |
| 03-02 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 03-01 18:37 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.022729141 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 14:45 | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? | BUY | 0.1996715403 | $40.00 |
| 02-28 14:16 | US forces enter Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0655793978 | $22.00 |
| 02-28 14:10 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 14:09 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.4377874786 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 13:58 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2836321962 | $55.00 |
| 02-28 13:56 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | SELL | 0.5033728523 | $79.40 |
| 02-25 00:33 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.0460000001 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 00:29 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.1113172447 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 00:29 | Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 00:24 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |