PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LetsThink

0x20818613f28ce85f16e051094e43e0fe11d8710e

Realised P&L
$12.97
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$37.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4570.560$5.61+$1.03
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? · Yes0.9160.933$4.67+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat? · No0.9200.915$4.58$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat? · Yes0.9300.905$4.53$0.13
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.6900.625$4.38$0.45
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.875$4.38+$0.17
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No0.8400.875$4.38+$0.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins · Los Angeles Dodgers0.5400.000$0.00$4.86
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins0.4800.000$0.00$4.80
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins · Atlanta Braves0.5600.000$0.00$4.48
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.5200.000$0.00$4.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves · Arizona Diamondbacks0.4300.000$0.00$2.15
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays0.6400.000$0.00$4.48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros · Los Angeles Angels0.4200.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:33Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.62$4.96
09-16 02:09Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.43$4.73
09-15 23:01Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.71$4.97
09-15 00:12New York Yankees vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.48$4.80
09-13 21:21Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.68$4.76
09-13 18:50Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.53$4.77
09-13 18:26Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.54$4.86
09-13 00:41Texas Rangers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.44$4.84
09-11 23:42Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.45$4.95
09-10 20:46Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.53$4.77
09-10 16:47Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.42$4.62
09-08 01:33Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.61$4.88
09-07 18:54Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.53$4.77
09-07 17:33Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.66$4.62
09-07 02:46Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.65$4.55